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20.05.2025 07:04 PM
DXY。美元持續掙扎
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今天,美國美元指數 (DXY),追踪美元兌一籃子貨幣的表現,正處於週內低點附近,繼續尋求其重要性。購買興趣的缺乏以及基本的看跌背景表明該指數最小阻力的路徑仍然是走低。

交易者預期聯邦儲備局將在2025年進一步降息,這一預期得到了上週公布的低於預期的美國消費者價格指數 (CPI) 和生產者價格指數 (PPI) 數據的強化。令人失望的月度零售銷售數字也增加了未來幾個季度增長緩慢的可能性。這些因素,加上美國政府信用評級意外下調,繼續對美元構成壓力。

同時,美國和中國達成大幅降低關稅的協議,以及90天的暫停以完成更廣泛的協議,顯示出全球最大兩個經濟體之間緊張關係的緩和。這緩解了美國的衰退擔憂,並阻止交易者採取激進的看空立場,儘管一些聯邦公開市場委員會 (FOMC) 成員最近發表了鷹派言論,但仍有助於限制美元的下跌。

今天,星期二,沒有預期會有能影響市場的重大經濟數據發布。交易者將重點關注有影響力的聯邦公開市場委員會成員的講話,這可能會在北美交易時段影響美元。

從技術角度看,日圖上的振盪指標處於負值區域,這表明最小阻力的路徑仍是向下。100水平被視為一個關鍵的支撐門檻。

至於當前美元的表現,數據顯示美元對澳大利亞元的走強最為明顯。

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Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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