empty
21.04.2025 01:01 AM
British Pound: Weekly Preview

This image is no longer relevant

Several fairly interesting reports were released in the UK, but they almost did not impact market participants' actions. Demand for the British pound increased on all five days except for the second half of Wednesday. On Wednesday, the UK published the most important inflation report, which showed a stronger-than-expected slowdown. The pound managed a minimal decline, although a stronger reaction could have been expected. Therefore, the new week's news flow may have only a limited impact on the GBP/USD pair.

The economic calendar includes the same usual business activity indices in the services and manufacturing sectors, which may decline in April, as well as retail sales, the volume of which could also drop. Thus, the British pound should not count on support from the economic backdrop. However, it does not currently need it, as the market continues to increase demand for the pound even on days when Donald Trump refrains from introducing new measures against the world that he deems "unfair" toward America. The only noteworthy event is the speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who may share the central bank's expectations for economic growth and inflation in the new trade reality.

Based on the above, the dollar's decline may continue even without new tariffs from Trump or strong data from the UK. Of course, we must also consider the news flow from the US, but I remind you that, at this point, nothing seems capable of saving the dollar. Even multiple hawkish statements from Jerome Powell and his open confrontation with the dovish-minded Trump have not affected the exchange rate of the American currency, which continues to fall rapidly and almost unopposed.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave analysis of EUR/USD

Based on the conducted analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument continues to build a new upward trend section. Donald Trump's actions have reversed the previous downward trend. Therefore, the wave pattern will soon entirely depend on the position and decisions of the US president. This must constantly be kept in mind. Judging from the wave structure alone, I previously expected a three-wave correction in wave 2. However, wave 2 has already ended and took a single-wave form. Thus, the formation of wave 3 of the upward trend section has begun. Its targets could extend up to the 1.2500 level, but achieving them will depend solely on Trump.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave analysis of GBP/USD

The wave structure of GBP/USD has changed. We are now dealing with a bullish, impulsive trend segment. Unfortunately, under Donald Trump, the markets may experience numerous shocks and reversals that do not conform to wave patterns or technical analysis. The presumed wave 2 is now complete, as quotes have surpassed the peak of wave 1. Therefore, we can expect the formation of an ascending wave 3, with the next targets at 1.3345 and 1.3541—assuming that Trump's stance on trade policy doesn't make a 180-degree turn, for which there is no indication.

Core principles of my analysis:
  1. Wave structures should be simple and understandable. Complex patterns are difficult to trade and often prone to change.
  2. If you're unsure about what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.
  3. There is never 100% certainty about market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.
Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, gold maintains a positive tone; however, bulls are acting cautiously, preferring to refrain from aggressive buying ahead of the release of the important U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report

Irina Yanina 15:30 2025-06-06 UTC+2

WTI. West Texas Intermediate. Traders Await NFP

Prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil remain in the middle of a three-day range. Prices are supported by hopes for the resumption of trade negotiations between the U.S

Irina Yanina 11:23 2025-06-06 UTC+2

ECB Meeting Results and Christine Lagarde's Press Conference

The euro responded with a significant rise following the ECB's decision to cut interest rates. But why did this happen? Let's break it down. The key reason behind the euro's

Jakub Novak 10:54 2025-06-06 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 6th? Fundamental Event Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: A fairly large number of macroeconomic publications are scheduled for Friday, but most of them will not interest traders. For example, the report on industrial production

Paolo Greco 10:11 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Overview for the GBP/USD pair on June 6, 2025

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, trading overall calmly and without any rush. There was no news for either the British pound or the U.S. dollar

Paolo Greco 05:47 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Overview for EUR/USD on June 6, 2025

The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade very calmly on Thursday, even when the results of the ECB meeting became known. It should be noted that there was no intrigue

Paolo Greco 05:21 2025-06-06 UTC+2

The EU Economy Will Not Suffer, According to Lagarde

Today, a meeting of the European regulator took place, where the obvious and expected decision was made to lower all three interest rates by another 25 basis points. The decision

Chin Zhao 02:56 2025-06-06 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

During the European session on Thursday, the Japanese yen maintained stability, allowing the USD/JPY pair to hold above the key 143.00 level amid a moderate rise in the U.S. dollar

Irina Yanina 12:04 2025-06-05 UTC+2

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today the AUD/JPY pair is attracting new buyers. Recent Chinese data, including the private Caixin survey, showed a moderate acceleration in growth in China's services sector

Irina Yanina 11:36 2025-06-05 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair continues to decline. Fundamental factors support bearish sentiment, indicating that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains downward. Reports of a trade agreement between

Irina Yanina 11:33 2025-06-05 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.