empty
27.05.2025 07:38 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold is extending its decline for the second day in a row.

The pressure on gold is driven by a combination of factors: optimism stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to postpone tariffs on goods from the European Union, as well as a rebound in the U.S. dollar from its monthly low—both of which reduce the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.

Nonetheless, ongoing uncertainty in Trump's trade policy, concerns over the deteriorating U.S. fiscal position, and geopolitical risks continue to support demand for the yellow metal. Additionally, expectations of further monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve—including a potential rate cut in 2025—are limiting significant dollar strength. This, in turn, curbs gold's downside potential and provides underlying support.

In this context, traders should exercise caution when opening aggressive short positions on the XAU/USD pair, considering the limited downside and potential for a price rebound based on fundamental factors.

From a technical perspective, a break below the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart would expose gold to deeper losses.

On the other hand, the $3325–3326 level serves as immediate resistance ahead of the $3366 level. Sustained strength beyond this level could act as a new bullish trigger, allowing gold to return to the psychological $3400 level. The next significant barrier lies at $3438, and a breakout above that would clear the way toward intermediate resistance at $3470 and potentially the historical high near the $3500 level.

For now, as long as oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, bulls maintain control over the gold market.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

NZD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The NZD/USD pair starts the new week with a downward bias, gradually moving away from Friday's more than one-week high, although no active selling is observed yet, due to mixed

Irina Yanina 12:20 2025-08-11 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The GBP/USD pair begins the new trading week with moderate moves, consolidating its recent solid gains. Last week, as expected, the Bank of England cut its interest rate

Irina Yanina 11:10 2025-08-11 UTC+2

Buyback boom on Wall Street

It is unclear whether tariffs will improve the American economy, but for now, they are causing US stock indices to underperform their overseas counterparts. The MSCI World Index excluding

Marek Petkovich 10:09 2025-08-11 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Inflation Decides Everything: The Dollar Awaits an Important Test

The euro-dollar pair began the trading week calmly, almost at the level of Friday's close (1.1642–1.1645). While sellers controlled the situation on Friday, buyers have now taken charge. That said

Irina Manzenko 09:55 2025-08-11 UTC+2

Markets Will Continue to Rise, No Matter What... (there is a possibility of a renewed decline in the EUR/USD pair and gold prices)

This week, the focus of the markets will be on the release of the U.S. inflation report. Market participants will closely monitor how much this important macroeconomic indicator may increase

Pati Gani 09:55 2025-08-11 UTC+2

Gold Falls in Price — Here's Why

Gold futures declined as traders continue to await clarification from the White House regarding its tariff policy, after a U.S. government agency shocked the market last week by officially ruling

Jakub Novak 09:34 2025-08-11 UTC+2

The Dollar Remains Under Pressure

The fact that an increasing number of Federal Reserve officials are leaning toward cutting interest rates as early as this fall is putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and boosting

Jakub Novak 09:22 2025-08-11 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on August 11? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. Therefore, today's market movement will likely remain very weak and non-trending. However, it is worth remembering that Donald Trump remains President

Paolo Greco 06:00 2025-08-11 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview. Weekly Preview: A Package of UK Data the Pound Does Not Need

The GBP/USD currency pair continues its confident upward movement after a month-long correction. This correction had both technical reasons (price cannot constantly move in one direction, especially in the cryptocurrency

Paolo Greco 03:35 2025-08-11 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview. Weekly Preview: The Dollar Faces New Challenges

The EUR/USD currency pair is showing all the signs of resuming the upward trend that could be named after Donald Trump. The decline of the US currency essentially began

Paolo Greco 03:35 2025-08-11 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.