empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
17.06.2025 09:04 AM
Middle East Crisis as a Prelude to Global War... (Limited Downside Possible for Bitcoin and EUR/USD)
Open trading account Open demo account

The missile standoff between the U.S. proxy Israel and Iran continues. Yesterday's unexpected departure of the U.S. president from the G7 summit in Canada sparked speculation that America might engage more directly in the Israeli-Iranian conflict. However, Donald Trump keeps insisting that the conflict must be resolved peacefully.

White House Press Secretary K. Leavitt stated Monday that Trump returned to Washington to "attend to many important matters," but later amended this explanation on social media, linking his departure directly to the Middle East situation. Many market participants interpreted this as a signal that the crisis is escalating to a level where both sides are striking critical infrastructure, prompting speculation that the U.S. might become more involved in supporting its regional proxy. Meanwhile, the president continues to take a hands-off approach, saying he's unaware or uninvolved—only intensifying the negative effects of growing uncertainty.

On these developments, crude oil prices, which had started to correct lower and energy sector stocks, resumed upward movement. Given the likely long duration and potential intensification of the conflict—particularly if Tehran retaliates by striking U.S. military bases or blocking sea trade routes off its coast (especially if aggressive Western nations join the fray)—we may soon see oil prices soar to $100, $150, or even higher. That would deliver a severe blow to Western economies and global trade overall, with all the negative ripple effects such a crisis entails.

Meanwhile, worsening conditions in the U.S. economy may force the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts, which could drive inflation even higher despite already being far from the 2% target. This conflict could throw the U.S. back into an era of double-digit inflation not seen since the 1970s–80s.

In such a scenario, the U.S. dollar would lose its status as a safe-haven asset, and interest in dollar-denominated assets would fade. At the forefront would be the massive U.S. national debt, which Washington will likely never be able to repay to foreign creditors.

Considering these dynamics, one can conclude that failure to de-escalate the Middle East crisis could soon pull more countries into its orbit and trigger a new world war with catastrophic consequences.

What to Expect in Today's Markets?

Today, investors are focused on the release of U.S. retail sales data. However, it's important to note that markets remain preoccupied with the Middle East. Events unfolding there will continue to dictate risk appetite and asset flows. For now, investors remain hopeful that full-scale war can be avoided, which has so far prevented gold and oil prices from skyrocketing. Stocks, cryptocurrencies, and the U.S. dollar are consolidating in tight ranges. This behavior is likely to continue even after the Fed's policy decision tomorrow, which isn't expected to offer new insight into Chairman Jerome Powell's stance on either internal or external crises.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Forecast for the day:

Bitcoin

BTC continues to trade in a broad but gradually declining range. The wave of negative sentiment—now amplified by Middle East tensions—puts pressure on crypto demand. Bitcoin is likely to fall further. A drop below $106,733 may trigger a move down to $104,129 and possibly to $100,350, which marks the lower boundary of this short-term trend. The sell level to monitor is $106,504.80.

EUR/USD

The pair is surging rapidly. The euro, viewed as an alternative to the dollar, is rising not because of eurozone strength but because investors are fleeing dollar assets amid fears that U.S. involvement in the Middle East conflict could severely undermine the greenback. Markets have essentially abandoned the long-standing notion that the dollar, as the world's reserve currency, offers protection from financial turmoil. However, if the Fed holds policy steady, that might lead to profit-taking, causing a correction in EUR/USD. A drop below 1.1540 could spark further downside toward 1.1420. The key sell level to monitor is 1.1535.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Crypto-currencies
Trading tips for crypto market on May 20 (North American session) Bitcoin and Ether performed well today in terms of buying following a pause in yesterday's bear market. Demand has returned to the cryptocurrency market, especially after geopolitical tensions eased somewhat
Miroslaw Bawulski
16:20 2025-06-20 +02:00
1270
Forecast
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – June 20th (U.S. Session) Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen Due to low volatility, the levels I indicated were not tested in the first half of the day. Given the data
Jakub Novak
15:49 2025-06-20 +02:00
1585
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The AUD/JPY pair is regaining positive momentum after a modest pullback the previous day. However, spot prices remain confined within a multi-day range due to mixed fundamental signals, trading near
Irina Yanina 14:39 2025-06-20 UTC+2

USD/CHF: The Pair Struggles to Gain Momentum Amid Conflicting Forces

At present, USD/CHF shows no clear intraday direction and fluctuates within a narrow range just above the 0.8155 level, reflecting market uncertainty during the European session. The Swiss franc
Irina Yanina 14:36 2025-06-20 UTC+2

The Euro Will Retain Its Strength and Investor Interest

During her speech, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that she sees the potential for the euro to play a broader role globally.Her remarks came amid growing geopolitical instability
Jakub Novak 11:25 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Euro Slightly Rises After Lagarde's Speech

The euro saw a modest recovery after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that expanding trade within the region could help offset losses resulting from global fragmentation. Her optimistic
Jakub Novak 11:10 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Donald Trump – A Mastermind of Geopolitical Uncertainty (A Potential Correction in Oil and Gold Prices)

Six months into Donald Trump's presidency, it seems he has already thoroughly exhausted the world with his "brilliant" initiatives, groundbreaking actions aimed at making America great again, and his vivid
Pati Gani 09:49 2025-06-20 UTC+2

The Market Tries to Extinguish the Fire

Markets are digesting Donald Trump's announcement that a decision on U.S. strikes against Iran will be made within two weeks. The White House could have acted at any moment
Marek Petkovich 09:01 2025-06-20 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 20? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday. The only report of the day will be the UK retail sales report. No economic data will be released today
Paolo Greco 07:45 2025-06-20 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 20: The Bank of England Didn't Surprise

The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Thursday, given the fundamental backdrop available to the market. On Wednesday evening, the Federal Reserve announced the results of its latest meeting
Paolo Greco 07:16 2025-06-20 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 20: Summing Up the Fed Meeting

The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Wednesday and Thursday. Recall that the results of the latest 2025 Federal Reserve meeting were announced on Wednesday evening, but we didn't
Paolo Greco 07:16 2025-06-20 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The Japanese yen is showing weakness against the stronger U.S. dollar, with the USD/JPY pair reaching a new monthly high. This rise in the dollar against the yen is mainly
Irina Yanina 20:12 2025-06-19 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 03:00 2025-06-21 UTC--5
Forecast for EUR/USD on June 20, 2025
11:43 2025-06-20
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 21:00 2025-06-20 UTC--5
GBP/USD Forecast for June 20, 2025
07:16 2025-06-20
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 19:00 2025-06-20 UTC--5
EUR/USD Overview – June 20: Summing Up the Fed Meeting
07:16 2025-06-20
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 06:00 2025-06-21 UTC--5
EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – June 20th(U.S. Session)
15:36 2025-06-20
Forecast
Relevance up to 06:00 2025-06-21 UTC--5
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – June 20th (U.S. Session)
15:39 2025-06-20
Forecast
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.