empty
02.02.2024 03:00 PM
Bitcoin consolidating near $43k: what to expect over the weekend?

The current week for Bitcoin is characterized by stabilization, as the cryptocurrency virtually does not react to important macroeconomic events. However, this does not mean that the cryptocurrency is immune to their influence, and the results of the Federal Reserve meeting will be reflected in the future movements of the BTC/USD quotes. At the moment, it can be observed that the bullish momentum that allowed the cryptocurrency to recover above $40k has finally faded. There is now a relative parity between sellers and buyers.

This image is no longer relevant

Bitcoin is consolidating and stabilizing near the $43k level, sometimes falling below it and then recovering above. The approaching weekend is expected to exacerbate this trend, but there is every reason to believe that over the weekend or at the beginning of the next trading week, the situation in the Bitcoin market will shift from a standstill. The asset may either resume its upward movement or start another corrective wave. The main catalyst for revitalizing the BTC market will be macroeconomic statistics in the United States.

Fundamental Factors

After the Federal Reserve meeting concluded, investors were met with a cold shower as it became evident that the interest rate would not be lowered at the agency's meeting in March. The percentage of investors expecting a decrease fell below 35%, while the majority of investors anticipate another pause. In connection with this, activity in the investment markets significantly decreased, and investors focused their attention on the Federal Reserve meeting in May. Today, important macroeconomic statistics will be released in the United States, which can significantly impact the price movement of BTC in the coming days.

This image is no longer relevant

At 13:30 GMT, a report reflecting the change in the employment level in the U.S. for the end of January will be published. This information will help investors form an understanding of the prospects for U.S. economic growth, considering the direct correlation between the employment level and GDP. Investors expect an increase in the U.S. unemployment rate for January to 3.8%, compared to 3.7% in December, which may create grounds for reconsidering the Fed's decision on the possibility of a rate cut.

This image is no longer relevant

Furthermore, at 15:00 GMT, investors await data on the Consumer Sentiment Index, which is a leading indicator of inflation. Markets expect that consumer confidence at the end of January will remain at the level of the first two weeks, at 78.9 basis points. In the case of confirmation of the forecast, it would indicate a slowdown in consumer activity and, therefore, a slowdown in the pace of inflation growth. If the macroeconomic data justify investor forecasts, it will significantly increase optimism in financial markets, given the substantial increase in the likelihood of a rate cut as early as the May meeting.

BTC/USD Analysis

As of February 2, Bitcoin is trading at $43k, with daily trading volumes around $20 billion. There is an activation of miners who have resumed selling BTC stocks, putting pressure on the asset's price. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency managed to recover above $43k. However, the stochastic oscillator indicates a gradual exit from the overbought zone, which could be a strong sell signal.

This image is no longer relevant

With the current situation and the realization of the stochastic signal, the price of Bitcoin will head for a retest of the local support level at $41.9–$42k. If this level is breached, the price will move towards the $40.5k level, a breakdown of which significantly increases the chances of further decline. This, in turn, will lead to a retest of the key support level at $38.6k, where the "shoulders" zone of the large-scale technical analysis figure "Head and Shoulders" is also located. However, this scenario can be avoided by consolidating above $43.8k and continuing the movement towards $45k.

Conclusion

Over the weekend, trading activity for BTC/USD is decreasing, but labor market and consumer confidence macroeconomic data can potentially change this scenario. If the forecasts are justified and the macroeconomic situation in the U.S. deteriorates, the probability of BTC resuming growth and attempting to consolidate above $44k over the weekend or early next week will significantly increase. Strong labor market and consumer activity indicators, on the other hand, can strengthen the U.S. dollar and intensify the correction in the crypto market and Bitcoin.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 4 de julio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin una vez más no logró superar el área de 110 000$ - 112 000$, pero parece que seguirá intentando una y otra vez superar dicha área

Paolo Greco 07:40 2025-07-04 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 3 de julio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin una vez más no logró superar la zona de los 110 000$ - 112 000$, pero, al parecer, seguirá intentando una y otra vez superar dicha zona

Paolo Greco 07:32 2025-07-03 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar en el mercado de criptomonedas el 2 de julio

El Bitcoin continuó su corrección y durante las operaciones asiáticas de hoy actualizó el nivel de $105 000. El Ether también cayó significativamente, pero luego fue rápidamente recomprado, estabilizándose

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:55 2025-07-02 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 2 de julio según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin una vez más no logró superar la zona de 110 000$ - 112 000$, pero esta vez ni siquiera intentó hacerlo. El OB "bajista" en el marco temporal

Paolo Greco 07:39 2025-07-02 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 1 de julio según el sistema ICT.

En el Bitcoin continúa otra pausa. Ya casi una semana que el precio se mantiene en el mismo lugar, en las cercanías inmediatas del máximo histórico (ATH). Ayer

Paolo Greco 07:05 2025-07-01 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 30 de junio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin ha entrado en una nueva pausa. Durante varios días consecutivos, el precio se mantuvo en el mismo lugar, pero en la noche del lunes, el Bitcoin volvió

Paolo Greco 07:49 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 27 de junio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin aún no logró superar el área de 110 000 $ - 112 000 $, pero nuevamente se mueve con confianza hacia su prueba. Como vemos, el Bitcoin

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin para el 26 de junio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin aún no ha podido superar la zona de los 110 000$ - 112 000$, pero nuevamente se mueve con confianza hacia su prueba. Como podemos ver, el bitcoin

Paolo Greco 08:30 2025-06-26 UTC+2

Análisis del par BTC/USD. El 25 de junio. El Bitcoin ha recobrado fuerzas

La estructura de ondas en el gráfico de 4 horas para el instrumento BTC/USD sigue siendo en general comprensible. Hemos visto una estructura descendente correctiva que concluyó su formación cerca

Chin Zhao 07:52 2025-06-25 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 25 de junio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin aún no ha podido superar la zona de los 110 000$ - 112 000$, pero al parecer tendrá otra oportunidad. ¿Qué ocurrió durante la última semana? Donald Trump

Paolo Greco 07:52 2025-06-25 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.